Thursday, August 30, 2007
Missed a winning trade. But I'm not upset. Really. OK, maybe a little.
If you've been following the blog much lately you'll know that I currently get a lot fewer trading signals because of some strict filters I've set up. So when a trading signal does come along, it's a big deal. And yesterday I got one to go short the EUR/USD for 22 pips, and in the ranging price action that followed it turns out it would have been a winning trade. Which would make it the 6th winning trade in a row, possibly setting a new record if I kept track of these things. But I couldn't make it, for a couple of reasons.First, I was out hiking with some friends and then out having a beer at a favorite venue in San Francisco. So I missed the ideal entry point for my trade, which was at 5:00 pm, just as I was wandering around the forests south of here. When I got back, 10 pips profit had already been shaved off the trade, so it would've been only a 12 pip trade. All of which is entirely my fault and if the trade had been enough of a priority I clearly would've been sitting right here glued to my laptop. And I wasn't, and while I'm a little annoyed with myself I still had a fun afternoon. And fun has a cost, which in this case can be measured in pips. The second reason is that FX Engines, my trading platform, had a server go down and wasn't working at all. This is the first time they've gone down during trading hours and it came as a bit of a nasty surprise. Who knows, maybe if I'd showed up on time the site still would've been up and I could've made the trade, but there's not much point in wondering about it now. Anyway, the upshot of all this was: no 22 pips, and a break in a nice winning streak. The larger lesson, and one I think I'll revisit in a more comprehensive post on the subject, is that there are a lot of unforeseen logistical risks to your trading lurking out there and you'd better be ready to fix the ones you can (like being on time for a trade, if that's important to you) and accept the ones you can't (like your broker's server going down). And if the same problems keep cropping up, it might be time to make some changes to your trading setup. But more about all that in a future post...
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